Precificação no Live
O que é precificação nas apostas esportivas?
Precificar é um método extremamente importante dentro das apostas esportivas, onde o apostador vai analisar as estatísticas para identificar se aquela aposta tem valor. Dessa forma, o apostador precisa entender se as linhas estão desajustadas em relação ao valor oferecido pela casa de apostas. Diante disso, podemos afirmar que a precificação é um dos primeiros passos para o investidor que realmente quer ganhar dinheiro com as apostas esportivas, do contrário, tudo isso seria apenas um jogo, onde ele se baseia pelo achismo ou favoritismo. Apostar sem analisar os números é uma maneira de jogar dinheiro fora e, portanto, se você quer ser lucrativo nesse mercado, precisa aprender a fazer a precificação.
Fairlines, como funciona a precificação?
Existe precificação no live?
Certa vez, em um evento de apostas esportivas, me perguntaram se é possível fazer precificação para as apostas no live. Sendo bem direto ao ponto, a precificação só existe de forma estatística no pré-game. Como eu falei antes, a precificação consiste em construir um preço justo para entender se a aposta vale a pena ou não. Ou seja, você precisa estudar para chegar nessa decisão. E até o jogo começar, você tem acesso a informações e pode mudar a sua precificação, caso julgue necessário.
Mas depois que o jogo começa, não é possível você calcular nada e somente as bookies conseguem fazer essa precificação em tempo real. Portanto, você que é apostador deve precificar no pré-game tentar encontrar um preço justo para levar para o live. A partir do momento em que o jogo começa, você vai acompanhar se a sua precificação continua tendo valor ou não.
O que eu quero dizer é que no live você não vai ter tempo para precificar tudo o que está acontecendo na partida. Mas é totalmente possível trabalhar o que você estudou antes do jogo começar. Portanto, pega a sua análise, assiste ao jogo e compara.
Vamos imaginar que você analisou um jogo em que o Flamengo é -1 contra o River Plate. Mas se ao começar o jogo e você perceber que as coisas não estão como você esperava, isso significa que o –1 não tem mais valor.
Como trabalhar a aposta no live?
Diante disso, caso você tenha essa análise durante o jogo, não faça a aposta. Mas caso você tenha apostado no pré-game, ainda é possível fazer a cobertura para conseguir um resultado melhor. A cobertura tem o objetivo de fazer novas apostas com resultados diferentes do que você havia colocado no pré-game. Dessa forma, você cria um cenário onde ainda é possível ter lucro dentro daquele mesmo evento.
Já falei aqui no blog que fazer apostas apenas no pré-game é algo que pode atrapalhar muito a sua lucratividade. Por isso, fazer a cobertura no live é uma maneira de correr atrás de um resultado melhor e buscar um green naquela partida.
Espero que você tenha gostado da dica que eu trouxe nesse artigo. Então, me conta mais sobre você. Você já fez apostas no live? Aproveite os comentários e compartilhe sua experiência comigo. E para te ajudar nessa trajetória com as apostas esportivas, eu separei alguns artigos para você estudar. Até mais.
APRENDA MAIS SOBRE APOSTAS ESPORTIVAS GRATUITAMENTE
- O que são Match Odds nos investimentos esportivos?
- Esperar pela odd de valor no live
- 2 coisas que todo punter deve saber sobre live
- Quanto tempo é necessário para validar um método?
- É possível viver apenas de apostas esportivas?
- Diferenças entre cassinos e apostas
- Mercado de ambas marcam
- Over e under de maneira fácil
Inscreva-se agora mesmo na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos totalmente gratuitos de apostas profissionais exclusivos. Tenho certeza que o conteúdo vai ajudar muito a sua carreira de apostador.
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