Como começar a Apostar na NFL
O crescimento da NFL no Brasil é algo impressionante, termos como touchdown, fumble, sacks entre outros desconhecidos para a maioria dos brasileiros já fazem parte do nosso vocabulário. Juntamos isso com o ‘boom’ das apostas esportivas em nosso país, a NFL passou a ser uma liga muito procurada pelos apostadores brasileiros. Vamos entender como podemos apostar na NFL e como funciona os principais mercados oferecidos pelas bookies.
Moneyline
O mercado de Moneyline nada mais é que o mercado de vencedor da partida. É importante comentar que o empate na NFL é algo muito raro de acontecer. Sabendo disso temos uma probabilidade inicial de quase 50% para cada lado vencer a partida.
Spread
Spread é a margem de pontos definida pela casa para equilibrar o confronto, quanto maior a diferença entre os times maior a linha do spread. Nas casas de apostas o spread está identificado como handicap.
Over ou Under
Over ou under é um dos mercados mais procurados pelos apostadores. Quando você aposta nesse mercado está apostando em mais ou menos pontos no jogo ou para uma das equipes. É um mercado muito popular entre os apostadores da NFL.
Agora que sabemos os principais mercados, vamos abordar algumas estatísticas do jogo que você deve analisar para conseguir ter vantagens em suas apostas na NFL.
Turnovers: Um turnover é quando a equipe perde a posse de bola sofrendo uma interceptação que é quando o adversário intercepta um passe do quarterback antes da recepção ou antes que a bola caia no chão, ou quando a equipe sofre um fumble que é quando um jogador possui o controle da bola e a deixa cair no chão antes que o seu joelho ou cotovelo encoste no chão. As equipes que vencem a batalha dos turnovers vencem 73% dos jogos na NFL. Esse é um ponto chave do jogo e deve ser muito bem analisado antes de realizar a sua aposta.
Taxa de Conversão de 3ª Descida: Esse é um ponto em que o apostador com toda certeza deve observar antes de realizar a sua aposta. Uma equipe que tem uma boa conversão de 3ª descida no ataque e consegue parar a 3ª descida do adversário quando está defendendo tem uma grande probabilidade de dominar e vencer a partida, assim como terá uma probabilidade de fazer uma grande campanha na temporada.
Posição de Campo: As equipes que conseguem uma posição inicial de campo melhor nos seus ataques têm uma boa vantagem, visto que é muito mais fácil atravessar 50 jardas do campo em cada ataque do que 80 jardas. Esse é um ponto a se olhar para as equipes de especialistas, que muitas vezes é deixada de lado nas analises, porém em minha visão tem uma boa influencia em campo. Um time com um bom punter vai sempre colocar o seu adversário em uma posição inicial de ataque ruim. Por outro lado, um bom punt receiver vai conseguir correr e ganhar jardas importantes para a posição inicial do seu ataque.
Jardas Aéreas e Terrestres: O futebol americano é um jogo de disputa territorial, por isso a analise da quantidade de jardas obtidas e cedidas é fundamental para o seu sucesso como apostar na NFL. Aqui você deve comparar as jardas ofensivas aéreas e terrestres de um time contra as jardas defensivas cedidas pelo adversário. Com essa comparação você terá uma ideia de como o jogo irá se desenvolver.
Parece muita coisa a ser analisada e realmente é, porém quando você vai mergulhando nos jogos e acompanhando a liga, tudo vai ficando mais fácil de entender e analisar.
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