
Esperar pela odd de valor no live
No artigo de hoje eu vou tirar uma dúvida que recebo bastante dos meus seguidores. A pergunta é a seguinte: “Danilo, quando eu vejo valor em apostar em determinado time, porém naquele momento as linhas não estão da maneira que eu gostaria ou as odds não estão do tamanho para ter valor, o que eu devo fazer? Devo esperar o live para colocar a aposta?” Para responder essa pergunta, eu vou trazer um exemplo bem simples. Eu tenho certeza de que vai ficar claro para você entender, sendo apostador profissional ou iniciante.
Como funcionam as apostas esportivas?
Para que você possa tomar a decisão de fazer uma aposta, você precisa ter estudado o jogo. Por exemplo, imagine que teremos um jogo entre a Alemanha e Nova Zelândia. Nesse caso, você entendeu que deve colocar uma aposta na Alemanha com um handicap –2. Contudo nesse momento, por algum motivo, as linhas ainda não estão do jeito que você quer. E é aí que muitos apostadores perguntam se devem esperar o live para fazer a aposta com uma linha melhor.
De maneira geral, eu diria que sim. Se você não está com valor para colocar a sua aposta naquele momento, a minha recomendação é que você não faça a aposta. Portanto, tendo em vista que você ainda não encontrou uma linha segura, o jeito é carregar a aposta para o live e ver como a partida se comporta.
Como apostar no live?
Você precisa ser bem estratégico na hora de fazer a sua aposta no live. É certo que você deixe para apostar no ao vivo, porém esse jogo que você está acompanhando precisa ter valor, de acordo com aquilo que você estudou. O que está acontecendo dentro do gramado precisa estar representado nas linhas das cotações. E é isso que vai te trazer uma aposta de valor. Não adianta fechar o olho, esperar chegar no valor e fazer a aposta sem acompanhar o cenário real do jogo. Aí a aposta não dá um bom resultado e a pessoa fica frustrada acreditando que tinha feito tudo certo.
Aposta com valor
A única forma de ser lucrativo dentro do longo prazo é fazendo uma aposta com valor. Um apostador jamais deve fazer apostas especulativas ou deixar de estudar todos os pontos técnicos e táticos. Eu sei que tudo isso pode parecer um tanto quanto complicado, mas as pessoas chegam nas apostas esportivas com um monte de ideias ilusórias que não fazem sentido na vida real.
Se você quer ganhar dinheiro com as apostas esportivas, precisa estudar sobre:
- Gestão de banca;
- Precificação;
- Método +EV;
- E outros conteúdos que você encontra por aqui
Portanto, respondendo se realmente vale a pena apostar no live. Sim, é certo esperar o jogo ir para o live e ter um acréscimo nas cotações e linhas. Porém, você deve acompanhar se o que está acontecendo naquela partida é justamente de valor em relação às odds. As casas de apostas estão sempre ligadas no que está acontecendo. Se a casa perceber que o time está sofrendo alguma pressão, não está conseguindo fazer gol, está com uma defesa ruim e tal, ela começa a subir as odds dele. Porque justamente, muita gente pode não estar assistindo ao jogo, mas vai embarcar na odd alta e vai perder a aposta.
Aprenda mais sobre apostas esportivas
- 3 estratégias de um apostador que ganha dinheiro com as apostas esportivas
- Este erro vai acabar com a sua banca
- 3 primeiros passos para ganhar nas apostas esportivas
Faça como os 3% dos apostadores lucrativos e comece a se especializar agora mesmo. Por isso, faça parte do meu grupo exclusivo para receber conteúdos de apostas esportivas profissionais.
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