Técnicas para Evitar Red nas Apostas Esportivas
O assunto dessa matéria é um dos mais pedidos pelos meus seguidores e além disso, esse tema também é um dos principais dentro do meu curso Aposta de Valor. Você vai aprender com exemplos práticos algumas maneiras de lidar e até evitar red nas apostas esportivas. O objetivo principal é te ensinar a como cobrir uma aposta ou pelo menos evitar o prejuízo.
Para começar a te explicar, vou usar um caso real de um jogo entre Cruzeiro e Fluminense. Se no dia desse jogo você fez a sua aposta e foi dormir, você simplesmente perdeu a oportunidade de cobrir a aposta e de sair sem prejuízo. Você tem que saber que existem algumas situações as quais é possível controlar o jogo. Por isso, é sua obrigação fazer isso, caso você queira ser um profissional das apostas esportivas. Apostadores profissionais que ganham dinheiro com as apostas não podem apenas fazer a aposta e esperar pra saber o resultado. É necessário ter ações profissionais e especiais. E cuidar da sua aposta está entre essas ações.
Como evitar red nas apostas esportivas?
Vamos continuar ainda no exemplo desse jogo que eu citei no início para você entender o que poderia ter feito para não sair com red. Imagine que para esse jogo você fez a seguinte aposta: Cruzeiro -0.75, uma odd de 2 e apostou R$100. Isso significa que se o Cruzeiro ganhar por um gol de diferença, você vai ganhar metade da aposta. Ou seja, para você ganhar a aposta inteira, seria preciso ganhar por 2 ou mais gols. Para você entender melhor essa lógica, eu te convido a ver o vídeo sobre como trabalhar com Handicaps Asiáticos.
Voltando ao exemplo, nesse jogo o Cruzeiro começo o jogo perdendo por 1 x 0. Nesse momento, não tinha nada pra fazer, pois se fizesse uma aposta ali naquele momento, você não cobriria nada. Na sequência, o Cruzeiro conseguiu empatar em 1 x 1. Seguindo o jogo, o Cruzeiro faz 2×1.
Como entender o meio green nas apostas
O meio green significa que você está apenas com metade do lucro, visto que o Cruzeiro está com apenas um gol de diferença. Ou seja, seu lucro é de R$50. Como acontece com a maioria dos times brasileiros, o Cruzeiro se acomodou com o resultado, tinha a chance de fazer mais gols e não fez. Em alguns momentos, eu pensei que o Fluminense ia fazer mais gols.
A primeira situação que precisa ser analisada nesse momento é os R$100 que você investiu estão retornando R$ 50. E por qual motivo você deveria correr o risco de perder o stake inteiro para ganhar metade se o jogo está tão perigoso e você ainda tem a oportunidade de cobrir esse provável lost?
Quando isso acontece, é necessário fazer o seguinte exercício: Você tem uma entrada de -0.75, ou seja, o Cruzeiro está muito favorito no jogo e a sua entrada não reflete a realidade da partida. Você tem uma linha agressiva na mão, mas você tem o cenário contrário. Por isso, você tem a obrigação como punter de cuidar da tua aposta neste exato momento. E foi isso que eu fiz nesse jogo.
O que fazer para ganhar a aposta?
Enquanto o jogo está acontecendo, você pode se mexer e correr atrás de um resultado melhor. Você tem duas ações para reverter essa situação e vou começar explicando o que eu fiz exatamente no dia desse jogo.
Apostar no over
O jogo está 2 a 1, saíram 3 gols e o jogo está no final, logo a próxima linha é over 3,5. Imagine que está faltando 5 minutos para acabar o jogo e a linha de over está muito alta naquele momento. A linha de over era em torno de 5.
Apostar no empate
A outra opção é você cobrir o empate, que em termos técnicos é chamado de draw. O empate sempre vai pagar mais que o over, já que o empate é bem mais difícil de acontecer, pois só sai empate com mais 1 gol do Fluminense. Naquele momento, o empate pagava 8, em média. Quais são as medidas aqui? Você quer fechar seu lucro? Entregar o lucro e dizer que não quer prejuízos? Ou você quer garantir um pouco do lucro e estar mais seguro? Foi isso que eu fiz.
Dos R$50 de lucro que eu tinha até aquele momento, eu peguei R$10 para colocar em outra aposta. Se você pegar R$ 10 deste R$ 50 e apostar neste over o que vai acontecer o seguinte: se não sair gol e o jogo terminar Cruzeiro 2 a 1, você deixaria de ganhar R$50 para ganhar R$40, porque você pegou R$ 10 e empurrou numa aposta que foi perdida, isso poderia acontecer tranquilamente, pois faz parte do negócio.
O que de fato aconteceu neste cenário aqui foi que você perdeu a sua aposta inicial de R$ 100. Então esse R$ 100 foram perdidos porque o jogo terminou 2 a 2, só que você acertou over 3.5. Nesse caso, você teve uma odd de 5. Ou seja, você ganhou R$ 50, com um resultado final de 50 negativos.
Nessa cobertura você perdeu R$ 50, você evitou perder uma stake inteira para perder meia stake. Essa é uma cobertura, a segunda cobertura é o que eu faço nesse caso, é uma cobertura dupla onde eu coloco uma parte no over e a outra parte no draw.
Como funciona a cobertura dupla nas apostas?
Nessa cobertura dupla, vamos fazer o seguinte. Desses R$ 50, vou colocar R$ 10 no over e R$ 10 no Draw. Porém, se terminar em empate, eu teria o seguinte: R$ 10 x 8 de lucro, ou seja, tenho R$ 80. Retirando os R$ 10, ficam R$ 70 e eu tenho R$ 10 x 5 que são R$ 50, tirando R$ 10 dá R$ 40. Então eu tenho mais lucro do que a minha stake inicial.
Percebeu a minha estratégia? Eu saí de uma situação a qual eu poderia ter tomado uma red muito grande, por causa do empate. Mas eu comecei a usar minhas técnicas, pegando parte do lucro e dividi em mais algumas apostas. No final do jogo, eu estava com lucro, pois bati 2 odds cobrindo.
De forma geral, quando eu cubro um over, eu tenho a chance de ter o lucro mesmo com o gol do Cruzeiro. Ou seja, se o Cruzeiro marca o 3 x 1, eu tenho o green inicial na minha primeira aposta. Eeu tenho green também no over e eu só teria um red no empate.
E este red não é problema nenhum, pois de R$ 50 eu usei R$ 10, me bateu o over. E já me gerou bastante lucro na segunda aposta e na última.
O que eu quero mostrar pra você é que sempre podemos encontrar uma saída para cobrir uma aposta de um lado ou de outro. Não é possível cobrir tudo e o tempo todo, mas é você quem tem que analisar o cenário e decidir aonde atacar.
Veja mais conteúdos lá no meu canal do Youtube.
E se você quiser um conteúdo ainda mais aprofundado, inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos.
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At MIND Education, we believe every student has the potential to deeply understand, and truly love math. Some of the technologies we use are necessary for critical functions like security and site integrity, account authentication, security and privacy preferences, internal site usage and maintenance data, and to make the site work correctly for browsing and transactions. To edit, navigate to any product page on site and update pincode in the delivery information section. Math governs everything around us. We use mathematical concepts in our everyday lives without realising them. Here’s why math is essential in life: The Legend of Multiplico – A Multiplication and Division Adventure Game Students outpaced pandemic slide and grew 5+ points in just 8 weeks. Credit: Vrinda Kapur, J-PAL SA Giveaways, Discount Codes, and a Dancing Meeple here and there!
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The Bitcoin “halving” occurs every four years. It cuts in half the number of Bitcoin rewards a miner can earn by being first to verify a transaction on the blockchain using specially designed, high-capacity computer servers to solve a unique code linked to every transaction. The next reward halving will occur in 2024 and then 2028 and so on, until we reach the year 2140 when all those halving cycles will be exhausted and all 21 million Bitcoin will be minted. © 2018-2024 Bybit. All rights reserved. The Bitcoin reward is divided by 2 every 210,000 blocks, or approximately four years. Some of the Bitcoins in circulation are believed to be lost forever or unspendable, for example because of lost passwords, wrong output addresses or mistakes in the output scripts. According to Bitcoin’s current code, there cannot be more than 21 million bitcoin in existence. It is highly unlikely this cap will be changed due to Bitcoin’s software code and how the rules are maintained. Of the 21 million that might eventually exist, there are currently a little over 19 million bitcoin already released, and the rate at which new bitcoin are released gets cut in half approximately every 4 years.
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The opposing faction submitted a rules change proposal that would increase the Bitcoin transaction block size from 1MB to 8MB, which would allow significantly more transactions per block. However, the majority of network users rejected the proposal, resulting in the first “hard fork” of the Bitcoin blockchain. This split of the original Bitcoin blockchain led to the creation of Bitcoin Cash, a new cryptocurrency with its own blockchain and its own scalability specifications. Since the hard fork, the Bitcoin Cash block size has grown to 32MB, allowing for even speedier and cheaper transactions. Access wallet features like buy, sell, swap and more. The confusion has also led to Bitcoin Cash receiving negative attention as a copycat currency that is simply a cash grab, aimed at tricking new crypto investors into buying a fake Bitcoin. This, however, is not true.
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