
O que Significa Juice nas Apostas Eportivas
Está aprendendo sobre apostas esportivas e ainda sente um pouco de dificuldade com os termos? Então, saiba que isso é algo extremamente normal entre os apostadores iniciantes e, justamente por isso, eu gosto de abordar esse tipo de conteúdo por aqui. Hoje você vai aprender sobre o juice nas apostas esportivas e como ele interfere no seu dinheiro.
Se você ler a matéria até o final, irá entender o porquê e como valorizar o seu dinheiro dentro desse mercado.
O que é o juice nas apostas esportivas?
Existem várias traduções para esse termo, mas praticamente o juice é uma fatia das odds que as casas de apostas irão receber.
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Ou seja, independentemente do time que o apostador está investindo, a casa sempre receberá essa parte do valor das odds.
Antes de prosseguir, eu quero te contar que as casas de apostas sempre vão oferecer juices diferentes. Isso quer dizer que quanto melhor for aquela casa de apostas, quanto melhores forem as cotações e quanto mais fortes forem as odds, o juice dela vai ser sempre menor.
Dessa forma, a casa de apostas deixa de ter um lucro maior em cima da sua aposta para poder oferecer cotações de maior qualidade aos seus usuários.
Um exemplo disso são as casas de apostas asiáticas que abrem mão de um juice maior, justamente para poder oferecer essa qualidade nas cotações.
Frequentemente, nas casas europeias, você encontra juices muito grandes para as casas e, consequentemente, a qualidade das apostas é muito ruim.
Aprenda a colocar o seu dinheiro aonde tem valor
Para ficar mais simples para entender, analise essa tabela e em seguida leia as minhas explicações:
Time A | Time B |
2.00 | 2.00 |
1.96 | 1.96 |
1.90 | 1.90 |
Cenário ideal de apostas
Em primeiro lugar, a gente tem o cenário ideal para todos nós apostadores. Perceba que nesse exemplo, os dois times estão com uma cotação de 2. Dessa forma, a casa de apostas está pagando um para um, independente de qual for a sua escolha, seja no over ou no under.
Porém, nesse caso as casas de apostas só vão ganhar com o nivelamento das cotações. Isso quer dizer que elas não vão ganhar nada no juice nas apostas esportivas.
Mas por que elas não ganham nesse cenário? Imagine que você tem 10 apostadores no lado A e 10 apostadores no lado B. O apostador que perde, automaticamente paga o apostador vencedor e não sobra nada para a casa de apostas.
Portanto, o primeiro exemplo não existe. É impossível encontrar esse tipo de abertura de odds.
Cenário de abertura de odds de casas de apostas asiáticas
Na sequência, olhe agora a segunda linha, onde temos a cotação de 1.96. Frequentemente, nas casas de apostas asiáticas, a abertura acontece com 0.04 ticks abaixo dos dois lados. Então, nesse caso é muito normal a casa de apostas oferecer 1.96 para os dois times.
Teoricamente, se essa casa de apostas tiver 10 pessoas que apostam no lado A e 10 pessoas que apostam no lado B, ela ganha 0.04 ticks dos apostadores. O motivo disso, é que ela vai pegar o dinheiro do perdedor e direcionar para o vencedor.
Porém, nem sempre os stakes vêm do mesmo lado, mas mesmo que viessem, nesse momento começaria a acontecer o balanço do mercado, que é o trade da casa de apostas.
Isso quer dizer que, quando começam a entrar muitas apostas no lado B, essa casa vai começar a direcionar os ticks para o time A. Mas são poucas casas que direcionam o mesmo valor para o outro time.
Por exemplo, se a casa tirou 0.06 ticks do time B, ela deveria repassar esse número para o time A.
Em resumo, tirando o caso das bookies asiáticas, quando as casas percebem que o time B está recebendo muitas apostas, elas vão retirar o valor de 0.06 e colocar apenas 0.04 no time A. E em alguns casos, essa diferença é até maior.
Segredo das casas de apostas: muita gente não sabe, mas elas possuem muitos mecanismos para medir de onde está vindo o dinheiro. Portanto, elas conseguem saber a qualidade do dinheiro que está entrando.
Isso acontece muito nas bookies asiáticas, devido à quantidade de dinheiro que entra em cada jogo e também essas casas não limitam seus apostadores.
Cenário de abertura de odds de casas de apostas europeias
Por fim, na última linha, temos um exemplo muito comum das bookies europeias. É um cenário onde a casa já ganhou 0.10 nos dois lados. Ou seja, essa tem um juice de +0.20. Se essa casa tem 10 pessoas apostando em cada um dos lados, ela pode pagar os vencedores e ainda sobra com 0.10 de cada lado.
Entendendo a importância que deve ser dada ao dinheiro dentro das apostas esportivas
Ao ler essa matéria até agora, você deve estar pensando que a quantidade citada aqui é um valor muito baixo, certo?
Mas para você entender a importância de valorizar tudo isso, vamos imaginar 2 amigos conversando em um churrasco.
O primeiro amigo diz que aposta que no jogo vão sair mais de 2 gols e eles decidem fazer a aposta entre eles. Mas o outro amigo diz que a cada R$ 100, ele vai pagar apenas R$ 90. Aqui, mesmo que o outro amigo perca, terá que pagar R$ 100. E se ganhasse a aposta, teria um prejuízo de R$ 10.
Já um terceiro amigo oferece uma aposta de um para um. Ou seja, a cada R$ 100, ele paga R$ 100.
Qual dessas duas ofertas você considera a melhor? Obviamente a segunda, certo? Pois, correto é apostar aonde o pagamento é mais justo.
É exatamente isso que acontece dentro dos investimentos e é por isso que você precisa aprender sobre o juice nas apostas esportivas. Quando você vê o exemplo da tabela, a visão do prejuízo não fica tão clara. Mas quando eu dei o exemplo dos amigos, ficou evidente que eu estava perdendo dinheiro na primeira opção de aposta.
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Muitas vezes, você não enxerga esse problema por estar alienado com o bônus ou um template bonito da bookie. Além disso, você não presta atenção aos requisitos realmente importantes para determinar a qualidade daquele evento e da casa de apostas.
Saiba ganhar dinheiro no longo prazo
O meu principal objetivo com esse artigo é fazer com que você dê valor ao seu dinheiro e comece a pensar no longo prazo. Essas ticks a mais ou a menos em cada jogo farão uma diferença gigantesca no longo prazo.
Pense que a cada 100 vezes que você apostar com uma cotação ruim, você estará perdendo muitas unidades. Por isso, aprenda a apostar em casas que ofereçam um juice justo e comece a se tornar um apostador que realmente ganhe dinheiro.
Eu sei que esse assunto é bastante complexo e não dá pra entender tudo com esse artigo. Mas fique à vontade para mandar suas dúvidas aqui nos comentários.
Fique ligado também que logo serão abertas as inscrições para o curso Aposta de Valor, onde eu abordo esse assunto e muitos outros com bastante detalhe.
Inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos.
216 Comentários
Danilo explica muito bem sobre o juice no you tube. Ótimo artigo, Danilao! Parabéns e q tenhamos sucesso nessa semana da mudança!!!
Obrigado Lima! Fico feliz que gostou e absorveu o conteúdo. Abraço!
Obrigado Danilo por nos ensinar e nos passar a sua experiência no mundo das apostas esportivas. Todos os conteúdos fornecidos são de uma enorme importância.
Boa tarde Fabiano! Conte comigo sempre. Forte abraço!
Muita boa informação Danilo, aguardando pelo curso mano.
Tmj Ivan!
Vídeo sobre o curso Aposta de Valor: https://youtu.be/34ZhdDqF9GI
Lista de Espera do curso Aposta de Valor: Estamos em planejamento para a abertura de inscrições da turma 9 do curso Aposta de Valor. E tudo será disponibilizado nas minhas redes sociais em breve. Mas caso queira deixar os seus dados para ser notificado em primeira mão assim que tivermos maiores informações, clique no link á seguir e preencha seus dados. Abraço e tmj! http://danilopereira.net.br/aposta-de-valor/
Quais casas de aposta, oferece entradas justas?
Boa tarde Pedro!
Para o apostador Punter indico a Punter Place. O email do suporte é mollybetdanilopereira@gmail.com
Para o apostador Trader indico a Trader Bet. O email do suporte é traderbetdanilopereira@gmail.com
Abraço!
Muito boa explicação Danilo. Sempre muito didático e principalmente realista. O brasileiro de modo geral não vê quanto paga de juros. Só olha o valor da parcela. E nas apostas, essa sua explicação é um paralelo fidedigno. Quando uma pessoa começa nas apostas ela não se atenta para isso. Só quer saber quando vai ganhar… Mas o longo prazo é implacável. Se não atentar para esses detalhes acaba ficando ainda mais difícil ser lucrativo. O que faz com que muitos desistam, geralmente no prejuízo (ia dizer todos, mas um ou outro pode ter parado no lucro).
Obrigado por compartilhar informação de qualidade!!!!
Boa tarde Guilherme! Muito obrigado e fico feliz que gostou.
Forte abraço e fico feliz em ajudar.
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