Precificação nas Apostas Esportivas: Como Fazer Corretamente?
Casa do Apostador Carregando...
Qual o Peso do Feeling na Precificação
qua 09 jun/21

Qual o Peso do Feeling na Precificação


Você que acompanha meu conteúdo há mais tempo já deve ter visto que eu não recomendo fazer apostas especulativas ou com base no favoritismo.  Mas ainda assim, bastante gente vem perguntar em minhas redes qual é o peso real que o feeling tem na precificação das apostas esportivas. Esse tema é muito importante e é por isso que eu vou falar sobre ele no artigo de hoje. Tenho certeza que vai ficar muito mais claro pra você.   

O que é fazer a precificação de um evento?   

Resumidamente, precificar um evento é encontrar a odd justa para fazer a aposta. Então você deve comprar se a cotação que a casa de apostas está oferecendo naquele evento é realmente justa. Portanto, você deve estudar para saber se a linha está abaixo, acima ou se está justa. Ao analisar um evento, é preciso adicionar alguns ingredientes para construir esse preço. 

Alguns ingredientes que você pode analisar

  • Power Ranking: é uma classificação usada para analisar a qualidade dos times em cada partida. 
  • Desfalques: quando o time sofre com a falta de um jogador importante.
  • Força do mando de campo: podemos analisar nesse fator a facilidade que os jogadores possuem para jogar naquele campo. 

Além disso, existem vários outros critérios que são usados para construir um preço. O feeling não é critério para precificar seu evento. O preço é construído por elementos substanciais, técnicos, táticos e até mesmo subjetivos, mas o feeling jamais será um desses fatores. 

O que é o feeling nas apostas esportivas? 

Feeling é quando você apenas acha que determinado time vai ganhar, sem utilizar nenhum método para chegar nessa conclusão. Dessa maneira, com o feeling você acaba especulando as entradas, o que pode te levar para um caminho bem ruim. Diante disso, antes de começar a apostar, você precisa decidir se será um apostador que usa a precificação ou apenas o feeling.  

Se ainda assim você decidir usar o feeling, você não precisa perder tempo em precificar o seu evento. Pois se você vai apenas especular, não faz sentido se preocupar em encontrar o valor. O que eu quero dizer é que o feeling não importa para a precificação. Até porque o feeling é um sentimento e para precificar um evento corretamente, você não deve usar sentimentos, mas sim a matemática e o seu conhecimento. Um apostador que deseja realmente ganhar dinheiro apostando precisa saber usar métodos eficientes para fazer as suas apostas e buscar a lucratividade.  

Existe precificação para a live? 

Aqui as coisas funcionam de uma maneira um pouco diferente. Em suma, na live não tem como fazer a precificação e nesse caso sim o seu feeling vale muito mais. Mas tome cuidado para não confundir as estratégias do live e do pré-game, pois como falei, as duas serão trabalhadas de maneiras distintas. 

Como fazer a precificação corretamente? 

Como você já deve ter percebido, saber precificar as apostas esportivas é essencial para conseguir ser lucrativo no longo prazo. Contudo, se você ainda não sabe como fazer uma aposta de valor, eu separei alguns conteúdos gratuitos para você começar a estudar agora mesmo. Se organize para começar a apostar do jeito certo e nunca se esqueça que o conhecimento é o principal fator para você atingir o sucesso. 

Conteúdo gratuito para aprender sobre apostas esportivas

Faça como os 3% dos apostadores lucrativos e comece a se especializar agora mesmo. Por isso, faça parte do meu grupo exclusivo para receber conteúdos de apostas esportivas profissionais.

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