97% dos apostadores não possuem métodos nas apostas esportivas
O artigo de hoje foi feito para uma pequena parcela de apostadores. Eu sempre tento trazer aqui conteúdos que possam ajudar a todos que me acompanham, porém nem todo mundo tem a capacidade de entender esse assunto. Você sabia que apenas 3% dos apostadores possuem sucesso nas apostas esportivas?
E quer saber o que você não deve fazer para ficar entre os 97% que não possuem lucro nesse mercado? Então acompanhe a matéria até o final e descubra se você é capaz de ser lucrativo trabalhando com isso.
Em primeiro lugar, um dos grandes problemas é que a maior parte das pessoas que querem ganhar dinheiro com as apostas não levam isso como um investimento de verdade e não fazem ideia de como utilizar métodos para conseguir lucro.
Onde os apostadores erram?
Você pode perceber que tem um grande número de apostadores que fazem as apostas com base apenas no achismo ou no favoritismo. Já vieram me perguntar várias vezes sobre qual time eu acho que vai ganhar em determinada partida.
Eu posso achar qualquer coisa. Talvez um time tenha mais fama e eu o escolha por isso. Porém isso não é uma análise de um apostador profissional e hoje você vai entender como fazer isso de maneira correta.
Precificação nas apostas esportivas
Você sabe o que é o preço? Preço é o valor o qual você está disposto a pagar de acordo com as chances que você analisou que podem acontecer durante uma partida de futebol. Então, para decidir em qual equipe apostar, você vai precisar analisar em primeiro lugar o valor das odds oferecidas na casa de apostas.
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Você que chegou aqui no meu blog buscando aprender como ganhar dinheiro de verdade nas apostas esportivas, precisa aprender sobre o +EV, que é o valor esperado.
É isso que vai fazer com que você seja diferente dos 97% dos apostadores que apenas jogam dinheiro fora. Fazer uma aposta de valor com foco em trazer resultados vai muito além do que escolher um time simplesmente porque ele é favorito ou jogou bem nas últimas partidas.
Como analisar as cotações?
Para fazer essas análises, é preciso investir tempo e também se dedicar muito nos estudos. Você vai ter que aprender sobre a importância do longo prazo nas apostas esportivas e como isso vai definir se você poderá viver com o dinheiro das apostas ou se vai apenas perder dinheiro.
Dentro desse estudo, você vai ter que analisar muitos requisitos das duas equipes. Entre eles, a performance dos jogadores, se houve alguma substituição, como as casas de apostas estão tratando esse evento, etc. Aos poucos você vai conseguir fazer essas análises de maneira eficiente a fim de encontrar o valor nas odds oferecidas pelas bookies.
Portanto, eu quero que você termine esse artigo sabendo que para fazer uma odd de valor, pouco importam os aspectos relacionados apenas ao futebol.
Ou seja, o que vai fazer realmente na sua decisão é se o preço do evento está bem calculado em relação à probabilidade daquela equipe ganhar a partida.
Basicamente, é como se fosse uma balança. Se você tem uma probabilidade alta e um preço bom, faça a aposta.
Mas se você tem uma probabilidade alta e um preço ruim, não vale a pena fazer esse tipo de aposta, entende?
Outra coisa importante pra você saber é que eu abordei esse assunto da maneira mais resumida possível e tem muito mais coisas pra você aprender e ganhar dinheiro apostando em futebol.
Além dos meus conteúdos gratuitos que você encontra aqui no blog e no meu canal do Youtube, também tem o meu curso Aposta de Valor. Fique de olho para saber sobre a próxima turma.
Inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos.
Além disso, me acompanhe também no Instagram.
290 Comentários
Eu até começo bem mais quando perdo aí não tenho paciência
Boa tarde Felipe! Precisa criar métodos e seguir em frente man.
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Gostaria de saber mais sobre o curso, inclusive valores
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Lista de Espera do curso Aposta de Valor: Estamos em planejamento para a abertura de inscrições da turma 10 do curso Aposta de Valor. E tudo será disponibilizado nas minhas redes sociais logo que estiver tudo definido. Mas caso queira deixar os seus dados para ser notificado em primeira mão assim que tivermos maiores informações, clique no link á seguir e preencha seus dados. Abraço e tmj! http://danilopereira.net.br/aposta-de-valor/
Sei bem como é isso, na real vc só falou supercifialmente sobre o que é fazer uma aposta de valor, deve ter muita coisa boa pra galera que se inscreve na lista vip. Eu por exemplo, ganhei mt dinheiro ano passado percebendo quais odds eram boas de se apostar, não porq o time era favorito ou não favorito, mas porq a odd pagava mais do que eu achava razoável. Me lembro de um jogo entre Palmeiras x Vasco, a odd do Vasco tava alto em torno de 4x assim que a casa de aposta postou no site, eu apostei 300reais no Vasco acreditando piamente que a odd iria cair em algum momento do jogo, por volta de 30min do segundo tempo a odd ja tinha diminuído pra 2.1, tirei meu lucro e fiquei safe
Boa tarde Marcos! Realmente existe muita coisa para se aprender na profissão. O produto que ensino tudo detalhadamente é o meu treinamento aposta de valor. Nele trabalho com o apostador desde o básico até o métodos mais profissionais, que uso no meu dia a dia.
Mas nos meus conteúdos abertos, você também pode obter muito conteúdo de valor para você ser um ótimo profissional.
Maiores informações sobre o curso, envie um email para suporte@apostadevalor.com.br
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