Como Entender Sobre a Fairline nas Apostas Esportivas
Casa do Apostador Carregando...
A Existência das Fairlines nas Apostas Esportivas
qua 31 jul/19

A Existência das Fairlines nas Apostas Esportivas


Você já ouviu falar sobre as fairlines? Por isso, a matéria de hoje é justamente para abordar sobre esse assunto. O que é uma fairline? Como ela pode ser usada punter e pelo trader?

Logo de início, eu vou te informar que é errado esperar a cotação do dia abrir e ir fazer a aposta dos próximos dias. Uma das técnicas recomendadas para apostadores profissionais e que é bastante usada pelos profissionais é projetar as linhas. Ou seja, as fairlines. Isso significa encontrar as linhas em que achamos justas para determinados eventos e a partir disso, comparar as linhas oficiais. Caso você tenha  dúvidas  sobre como encontrar linhas desajustadas, tem um vídeo muito bom lá no meu canal no Youtube. Vai lá assistir assim que terminar essa matéria.

Todo apostador tem que usar a fairline?

Por mais que seja uma técnica muito recomendada no mundo das apostas esportivas, um grande número de apostadores  não conhece ou não faz uso dela. A maioria costuma entrar no site da casa de apostas, ver os jogos que vão acontecer naquele dia e fazer a aposta a partir daí.

Resumidamente, isso é uma total falta de preparo e se você faz isso, corre o risco de jogar dinheiro fora. Não que isso não vá te dar lucro nenhum. Mas existem maneiras de se preparar para realmente ganhar dinheiro com as apostas esportivas a longo prazo.

Como se preparar a fairline para fazer a aposta?

O que ocorre bastante entre os apostadores que jogam sério é pegar uns 3 dias antes da partida e começar a analisar e a pegar informações suficientes sobre o jogo. Então, dá pra colocar essas análises em uma planilha e chegar a um cálculo onde você pode estar preparado. Com isso, a bookies abrir aquela linha, você terá ideia se a linha está correta e se é uma aposta de valor.

Exemplo de como trabalhar com a fairline

Imagine que a partida será entre Corinthians e São Paulo. Cinco dias antes, eu comecei a estudar o evento e já calculei uma aposta para ele. Com esse cálculo, eu identifiquei que a odd correta para o evento é de 1.80 para o Corinthians vencer esse jogo e 3.40 para o São Paulo vencer.

Dessa forma, eu estou imaginando que o Corinthians é favorito por estar jogando em casa, por exemplo. Com o passar dos dias, acompanhando as notícias, eu percebi que nada se alterou no cenário. Não houve nenhum destaque nem nada que possa impactar a minha análise. Na sequência, eu esperei a bookie lançar a linha.

Continuando o exemplo, vamos imaginar que a casa lançou uma linha com a odd de 2.20 para a vitória do Corinthians. Observe que isso significa que o Corinthians está com menos favoritismo do que eu calculei quando fiz a fairline. Com isso, eu preciso recalcular o evento e fazer toda a análise novamente. E tentar identificar o que impactou nesse resultado.

Preste atenção agora. Se eu pesquisei o mercado e não encontrei nada de diferente, eu consigo ver que eu estou do lado de uma aposta de valor. Coloque em sua cabeça que nem sempre a nossa banca vai aguentar fazer todo tipo de aposta. E para isso, você precisa trabalhar com uma margem mínima.

Voltando ao exemplo, nele eu fiz o que um verdadeiro apostador profissional precisa fazer para ter lucro. Comecei a analisar com antecedência, analisei diferentes cenários e quesitos, fiz vários cálculos e estudei. Além disso, calculei a aposta de valor e estava esperando sair a cotação para identificar o que iria acontecer nesse evento. Uma outra informação importante. Lembre-se que você não está apostando somente contra a casa de aposta. Mas também contra outros apostadores.

Qual o segredo para alavancar as apostas esportivas?

Uma coisa que eu falo sempre para meus seguidores e alunos do  curso Aposta de Valor é que um verdadeiro apostador esportivo não pode ter preguiça de estudar e analisar. Se fosse fácil, estava todo mundo ganhando rios de dinheiro com esse mercado. Mas sabemos que a verdade não é essa e você pode ler um pouco mais na matéria sobre como fazer parte dos 3% dos apostadores de sucesso.

Eu realmente espero que você estude, analise as qualidades técnicas e se prepare de verdade para o que possa vir a acontecer. Além de ter mais chances de ganhar e sair na frente, você terá a capacidade de comparar o que é valor e o que não é na prática. Essa técnica vai te ajudar muito quando você começar a pegar uma quantidade grande de jogos. Procurar informações sobre as partidas é viciante.

Vou finalizar essa matéria com uma dica valiosa: Não se ganha dinheiro nas apostas escolhendo o vencedor da partida. Você não pode simplesmente adivinhar o resultado do jogo. O segredo para ganhar dinheiro a longo prazo é ter suas fairlines bem ajustadas e coerentes.

Inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos. 

Além disso, me acompanhe também no Instagram.

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