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Como Fazer Parte dos 3% dos Apostadores de Sucesso?
Você já ouviu falar que 97% das pessoas que apostam perdem dinheiro e somente 3% são apostadores de sucesso? Repare que eu falei 97% das “pessoas”. O motivo disso é que a pessoa que aposta sem métodos e sem análises, nem pode ser considerada um apostador. Ou seja, ela é somente alguém que coloca o dinheiro dentro de uma casa de apostas e dá o dinheiro de graça aos bookies. Sinceramente, tem coisas muito melhor para você fazer com o seu dinheiro do que jogá-lo fora. Dentro desse contexto, é melhor você pegar esse dinheiro que seria mal utilizado nas casas de aposta e doá-lo para caridade. Na matéria de hoje você vai aprender algumas técnicas que os apostadores lucrativos fazem. Além disso, vai ver exemplos de hábitos de pessoas que jogam sem estratégia alguma.
Qual o segredo dos apostadores de sucesso?
Para se ter sucesso com as apostas, é necessário escolher um método e realmente praticá-lo. Como eu falei no começo da matéria, somente 3% dos apostadores são vitoriosos no longo prazo. Os outros 97% simplesmente entregam o dinheiro para a casa de aposta. E você sabe o que é ser vitorioso no longo prazo? Significa que você tem a possibilidade de viver das apostas ou ter este ganho como uma renda extra. Ou seja, você consegue mostrar para as casas de apostas que você tem seus métodos e que tem muito mais chance de ganhar do que de perder.
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O que uma pessoa faz para perder dinheiro com as casas de apostas?
Curto Prazo
O curto prazo é o primeiro problema no mundo dos apostadores esportivos. O curto prazo é quando alguém assina um serviço de piks para ter um bom resultado em apenas um mês. É aquela pessoa que faz um depósito a cada semana, pois ele quebra a banca. E com isso, precisa fazer um novo depósito e um novo aporte. Esse tipo de pessoa pensa muito no ganho repentino e aposta em coisas que não conhece, sem ter método algum. Tanto no meu canal no Youtube, como no meu curso Aposta de Valor, eu sempre insisto na questão do longo prazo, justamente por muita gente ainda não entender a importância dele na sua carreira como apostador.
Portanto, ver a curto prazo é o primeiro passo e o erro mais comum dos 97% dos perdedores de apostas esportivas. Se você quer insistir no curto prazo, eu sugiro que você faça outro tipo de investimento. Pode ser a compra de bitcoin, ações em empresa ou outro negócio rentável. Mas as apostas esportivas não se enquadram nesse perfil.
O lado emocional e as apostas
É necessário um emocional forte e calculista, pois a pessoa que tem o emocional abalado, geralmente é uma pessoa desesperada e ansiosa. E que provavelmente não tem ou não usa os métodos de forma correta. E é importante que você saiba que o emocional está relacionado há vários momentos de decisão das apostas. Por isso trabalhe para que esse seu lado seja bem controlado.
Métodos mágicos
Existe mágica nas apostas? Como ela acontece? Os métodos mágicos acontecem para aquelas pessoas que começam a apostar porque viram que existe um método bônus onde você faz as contas e vai para as casas de aposta para alavancar sua banca de uma vez. É muito comum as pessoas me enviarem e-mails dizendo que encontraram um método genial, o qual é impossível ter prejuízo. Eles até me explicam como é esse método mágico. Alguns são relacionados a over, outros ao under e tem até a sequência de empates. A única coisa que eu tenho a dizer pra você é que não existe fórmula mágica e não existe nada que garanta o retorno do seu dinheiro.
Tudo nas apostas esportivas é baseado em uma gestão de risco, onde você tem que ser muito cuidadoso para saber em quem e quando confiar. Saiba que apostas compradas, metching e método mágico não existem. Eu por exemplo, sou contra até mesmo a alavancagem de banca.
Sem estudo
Sem dúvidas, esse é um ponto muito arriscado. Essa é a situação a qual o jogador não sabe absolutamente nada de apostas. Ele pode até entender e conhecer muito sobre futebol, porém ele não tem métodos dentro das apostas esportivas. O motivo é que ele simplesmente não estudou e não adianta nada ele saber muito de futebol, mas não saber precificar.
Quais são os métodos usados pelos apostadores de sucesso?
+EV
Expected Value ou Valor esperado é um método utilizado para mensurar o valor que o apostador pode ou não ganhar com as apostas. Assista ao vídeo O Único Método de Sucesso para Ganhar nas Apostas, +EV. Pois, nele eu explico exatamente o que você precisa saber para aplicar esse método. Resumindo, o +EV significa apostar com valor, ou seja estar do lado das probabilidades. Isso é essencial para você que quer ter lucro com as apostas.
Precificação ou Fairline
Basicamente aqui você precisa saber chegar a um preço justo usando os métodos que mais funcionam pra você. Um exemplo muito importante. Se você aposta em um determinado evento somente porque você acha que aquele time vai ganhar, você não está precificando de maneira correta. É necessário precificar para saber se sua aposta vale a pena ou não. Pra ficar mais claro pra você, assista ao vídeo que eu falo sobre a existência das Fairlines.
Gestão de Banca
Vamos deixar claro, se você não tem gestão de banca, você não vai ganhar dos bookies, pois é impossível. E eu digo isso com total certeza do assunto. Não tem como você começar a fazer depósitos toda hora na expectativa de colocar dinheiro novo e aumentar sua unidade, se você não tiver um número de unidades definidas na sua banca. Ou se você não souber o quanto você tem que apostar. Ou seja, não adianta nada disso, pois o que você ganhar, você vai devolver. Por isso, você precisa estudar gestão de banca e entender a importância dela nas apostas.
Mindset
O mindset são as ferramentas que estão dentro da sua cabeça como um apostador. Ou seja, aqui você provou que é um apostador que controla as emoções. Que sabe o que é longo prazo, sabe separar o emocional do racional e principalmente, é uma pessoa que está no mundo das apostas para ganhar dinheiro e não para ficar brincando. O Mindset é essencial para o seu sucesso como apostador, por isso assista ao vídeo que fala sobre Dicas de Mindset para um Apostador Profissional.
Pode parecer difícil, mas comece aos poucos e vá aprimorando seus métodos gradualmente. Pois é isso que você precisa para estar entro os 3% dos apostadores de sucesso.
Reflexão sobre os 97% perdedores
Pessoalmente, eu acredito que essa porcentagem é falsa e eu vou explicar o motivo. Quando falamos dos 97%, estamos falando de pessoas sem planejamento, sem métodos e que só possuem o curto prazo. Porém,vamos pegar somente os 3% e digamos que essa porcentagem represente 4 milhões de usuários no mundo todo. Agora, imagina qual a porcentagem dessas pessoas que usavam métodos e que estão do lado dos 97%.
O que eu quero explicar é o seguinte. Quando você mede uma estatística de porcentagem nos dois lados e chega ao resultado de 97% e 3%, você colocou todos os jogadores no mesmo saco. Ou seja, você está colocando os jogadores sem métodos e os jogadores com métodos e isso não é uma conta justa.
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Eu te desafio a pegar pessoas que têm esses métodos e fazer uma porcentagem de quantas delas são lucrativas a longo prazo. Assim sendo, o que eu quero dizer é que 3% é muito pouco se olharmos para o geral. Porém, se você selecionar as pessoas que realmente se importam com o dinheiro, usam métodos e que realmente se importam com as apostas, eu garanto que esse número vai se multiplicar por 10, 20 ou até 30 vezes.
Entenda que quando você coloca as pessoas sem estudo e sem métodos nessa conta para ter uma porcentagem crua, obviamente você vai ter poucas pessoas lucrativas. Mas, se você pegar uma amostragem de pessoas selecionadas dentro do ramo onde já se tem muitos métodos, a porcentagem de apostadores lucrativos não será de somente 3%. Então, se você quer pegar uma amostra de pessoas que possuem métodos, a porcentagem vai dar muito mais que isso. Pois as pessoas estudam, se preparam e usam métodos.
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661 Comentários
Excelente conteúdo, hoje digo com total propriedade que seguir algumas dicas simples, porém, difícil de praticar é o caminho para se tornar um apostador lucrativo no longo prazo.
Sucesso Danilo!!
Obrigado Giovani! Mantenha o foco e o profissionalismo que com certeza alcançará seus objetivos. Continue acompanhando meus conteúdos que irão lhe auxiliar nessa sua caminhada. Forte abraço.
Obrigado, bom artigo, me ajudou a entender mais desse mundo das apostas.
Estou aqui sempre para ajudar Benjamin. Continue acompanhando meus conteúdos e se aperfeiçoando cada vez mais.
Grande Danilão vlw mano cada dia estou focado nas aposta esportiva
Continue assim Ataides! Foco, disciplina e profissionalismo… Continue acompanhando os meus conteúdos, pois tenho certeza que lhe ajudará cada vez mais nessa sua trajetória. Abraço.
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I’ve tutored a wide variety of students from 4th grade to Ph.D. level in many math and science disciplines. I’ve also co-led several writers’ workshops, and I’m a professional writer and editor of math and science textbooks. My educational…See Marc’s full profile We will always have STEM with us. Some things will drop out of the public eye and go away, but there will always be science, engineering, and technology. And there will always, always be mathematics.— Katherine Johnson, African-American mathematician As an example, keep reading for a look at the Common Core Standards for 4th-grade students in the United States. Students at this grade level should know things like the four basic math operations and factors and multiples. They should also know how to perform multi-digit arithmetic and how to solve problems that include decimals and fractions. Students at this grade level should also have an introductory understanding of core principles in geometry. This includes things like lines, angles, and the properties of shapes. If you have a student in or near the 4th grade who doesn’t understand all of these math topics, then signing them up for math tutoring could be a good option to help them make academic improvements.
Before starting his career as a freelance writer, Jhonattan studied at the Universidad La Gran Columbia from which he graduated in 2019. Jhonattan describes himself as a crypto enthusiast and regularly writes price prediction articles for new projects. During his time as a writer, Jhonattan has gained great knowledge about the crypto space and has mastered technical analysis skills that he uses when writing token price predictions. As well as writing for Trading Platforms, Jhonattan has written for Stocksapps and Buyshares.co.uk. However, that astonishing growth rate isn’t entirely good news. Many new cryptocurrencies have little purpose other than making money for their developers. Overall, it’s still a very top-heavy market. A small number of cryptocurrencies are responsible for most of the market’s total value.
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The Ministry for the Future serves as a blueprint for how we can throw climate change into reverse and actually reduce the amount of carbon in the atmosphere over the next three decades. If we follow it, this blueprint could make your Earth no warmer than ours. If we don’t, it could be almost as uninhabitable as Aurora, the abandoned planet in his cautionary interstellar tale. Ministry is also Stan’s last work of fiction for the foreseeable future. (Next up, a nonfiction book on hiking the High Sierras near his home in Davis, California.) So the author who’s been warning of climate change in his books since the 1990s decided to drop the mic in this one. For environmental groups, crypto offers new and exciting opportunities to accomplish their goals while fundraising inside markets regularly valued in the trillions. Even so, such schemes sit within a technology paradigm that, in its current form, is viewed as a grave threat to the environment. Roiled by daily scandals related to scams, energy consumption and basic usability, crypto is a strange new world for environmentalists to inhabit. But a few innovators are holding firm in the belief that blockchain technologies can help humanity ascribe to nature the value it deserves.
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