
Saiba a Importância do Valor nas Apostas Esportivas
Por que você se tornou ou quer se tornar um apostador esportivo? Muita gente acha que esse mercado é baseado em sorte ou azar, mas essa ideia é totalmente errada. Trabalhar como apostador, é levar a sério e considerar esse trabalho como um investimento. E para falarmos mais sobre isso, o artigo de hoje fala sobre valor nas apostas esportivas.
Eu percebo que um número grande de apostadores ignora esse conceito que é extremamente importante para o sucesso nas apostas. [ads option=1]
Portanto, se você quer fazer parte do seleto grupo de investidores que possuem sucesso nesse mercado, leia a matéria até o final.
O que é valor dentro das apostas esportivas?
A primeira pergunta é: como identificar uma odd de valor?
A odd de valor é aquela onde você tem uma probabilidade maior de ter um resultado de valor acima do que aquele oferecido pelas casas de apostas. Ou ainda, quando você tem um preço maior oferecido pelas casas de apostas e você tem uma probabilidade igual disso acontecer.
Vamos entender isso com um exemplo mais simples? Então imagine uma moeda, de um lado temos cara e de outro temos coroa.
Quando você joga uma moeda pra cima, a probabilidade de dar cara é 50%, assim como o lado da coroa. Além disso, entenda que quando se joga uma moeda pra cima, nenhuma técnica é utilizada. Portanto, independente da forma que você jogar essa moeda pra cima, as chances sempre serão as mesmas.
Para completar essa parte do exemplo, imagine que um amigo meu me chama para apostar jogando uma moeda. Se der cara, eu pago R$ 2 e se der coroa eu ganho R$ 2.
Aposta -EV
Nesse exemplo acima, essa aposta não tem valor algum e é considerada –EV, pois tudo depende somente da sorte.
Essa situação ilustra muito bem o processo daquele apostador que entra no site, não sabe o que apostar e simplesmente aperta o botão para fazer uma aposta aleatória e sem estudar nada. Esse tipo de apostador não tem estudo nem técnica alguma.
Agora, vamos imaginar um cenário ainda pior. Nessa mesma aposta, o valor da cotação será diferente. Se der cara, eu ganho R$ 1.80 e se der coroa eu pago R$ 2. Esse exemplo serve para mostrar o que é uma aposta sem valor.
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Ou seja, se eu perder, terei que pagar um valor mais alto para a casa de apostas. Não faz sentido aceitar esse tipo de aposta, não é mesmo?
Analise o valor das cotações
Mesmo tendo 50% de chances para cada um dos times, você jamais pode apostar em uma cotação abaixo do valor justo.
Porém, tudo seria diferente se essas cotações estivessem invertidas. Ou seja, se der cara, eu ganho R$ 2.20 e se der coroa eu pago R$ 1.80. Essa sim seria uma aposta com valor. Portanto, esse tipo de análise é o que vai te trazer lucro a longo prazo dentro das apostas esportivas.
Resumidamente, ao pensar no longo prazo, você percebe como essas cotações fazem muita diferença no seu resultado final e como é importante você saber escolher e analisar muito bem cada uma delas.
Quando fazer uma aposta de valor?
Você tem que fazer uma aposta de valor quando a casa te oferece um preço maior do que as probabilidades oferecem.
Enfim, se você chegou até aqui, eu espero que tenha entendido que o valor é o conceito profissional que vai fazer com que você pare de contar com a sorte. Além disso, ao entender sobre o valor das apostas esportivas, tenho certeza que você vai correr atrás para estudar outras teorias e métodos dentro das apostas esportivas.
Dicas de estudo para apostador iniciante
É a sua primeira vez aqui? Chegou aqui no blog buscando informações para se tornar um apostador? Então confira os conteúdos gratuitos que eu separei para te ajudar.
- Planejamento para apostadores iniciantes
- 5 dicas para apostadores iniciantes
- Como administrar uma banca de apostas pequena?
- Método para iniciantes nas apostas esportivas
- 3 problemas comuns de um apostador
Eu quero muito saber o que você achou das dicas de hoje. Portanto, deixe sua opinião, sugestões e dúvidas aqui nos comentários.
Inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos.
Além disso, me acompanhe também no Instagram.
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