Como Montar uma Estratégia para Apostas Esportivas
Casa do Apostador Carregando...
Passo a Passo para Montar uma Estratégia para Apostas Esportivas
qua 01 maio/19

Passo a Passo para Montar uma Estratégia para Apostas Esportivas


Você quer saber exatamente como montar uma estratégia para apostas esportivas vencedora? Foi pensando em você que eu montei as dicas de hoje. Pra quem acompanha o meu canal no Youtube, sabe que eu sempre falo sobre o ciclo vitorioso:

Porém hoje, eu vou abordar além dessas dicas. Por isso, irei sugerir uma rotina na qual você criará métodos e então montará uma estratégia para te trazer lucros nas apostas esportivas. Porém, é importante você saber que é necessário investir tempo e dedicação para conseguir sucesso com as apostas esportivas. É necessário encaixar isso na sua rotina, se você realmente quer ser um apostador profissional.

Lembre-se que essa matéria é uma sugestão baseada na minha prática de apostador e cabe a você colocar as dicas em prática e analisar o que realmente funciona para você. Vamos conferir o passo a passo?

Como montar uma estratégia para apostas esportivas?

Decida a liga para qual você trabalha

A primeira coisa é decidir qual a liga que você vai trabalhar, pois sou totalmente contra você olhar vários jogos sem  focar em liga nenhuma. Não seja apenas um conhecedor, mas sim um especialista. Pois dessa forma será muito melhor para você montar e definir a sua estratégia.
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Analise todos os jogos da rodada

Se você tiver tempo, eu sugiro você analisar todos os jogos.  Mas se você ainda não pode se dedicar completamente para isso, eu recomendo analisar de 30% a 50% dos jogos da rodada. Então para resumir, até aqui você vai ter escolhido a liga e quais jogos irão ser trabalhados.

Analisar os jogos escolhidos

Analisar os jogos é escolher o site de estatística que você gosta para analisar. Existem vários sites para fazer isso e um que eu recomendo e utilizo de forma gratuita é o www.soccerstats.com

No meu canal do Youtube tem review de várias partidas para você entender melhor esse processo.

Para analisar as partidas você precisa olhar as informações dos jogos, os jogadores escalados, desfalques, quais times estão em melhor forma, esquema tático, etc.

Precificação

Isso pode soar repetitivo, mas a precificação é extremente importante e não tem como fugir dela. Você precisa ter um ponto de partida, nem que essa precificação seja feita na sua cabeça inicialmente, até você aprender a fazer de uma forma mais profissional. Baseado em suas análises, você terá a capacidade de definir o valor de cada evento. Pois é com as análises que você vai entender se o preço é justo e vai fazer o +EV.

Depois disso, você precisa se certificar sobre o valor da aposta e como eu faço pra saber se a aposta tem valor? Você precisa comparar as cotações. Ou seja, você vai ver qual a cotação oferecida pelas casas de aposta. Resumidamente, uma aposta tem valor se a casa de aposta está pagando mais do que o valor que você encontrou. Se tem valor, está na hora de você fazer a sua aposta.

Gestão de banca

É imprescindível que você tenha uma gestão de banca e eu falo detalhadamente sobre esse processo no meu canal. Não deixe de assistir. Após você ter uma gestão de banca bem estruturada, você está realmente pronto para fazer a sua aposta.

Tempo correto

É uma dúvida comum dos apostadores, principalmente daqueles que estão começando. Será que é o momento certo de colocar sua aposta? Ou será que você deveria esperar? E ainda, será que o mercado pode te dar uma odd ainda melhor que a odd que você já tem? Enfim, isso é uma coisa que você aprenderá com a prática e poderá levar um tempo. Mas basicamente, existem 3 pontos relacionados ao tempo das apostas:

Isso quer dizer que talvez seja melhor você esperar esse jogo para a live, apostar em determinado time ou talvez seja melhor apostar agora, porque o mercado pode derrubar o preço.

Onde aprender mais sobre apostas esportivas?

Então, estes são os 7 passos essenciais para você conseguir montar uma estratégia para apostas esportivas vencedora. Porém, eu abordei tudo de uma forma resumida, por isso recomendo você procurar cada tópico no meu canal, pois em cada vídeo eu falo sobre cada assunto de uma maneira bem mais aprofundada. Aqui no blog você também tem acesso a várias dicas.

Além disso, eu também tenho o meu curso, o Aposta de Valor e próxima turma está programada para Julho/2019. Se organize para aprender a apostar comigo de uma maneira sem igual.
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Ah, e se você estava achando que para começar a apostar era só dar o dinheiro para a casa de aposta, lamento te decepcionar, mas você tem um longo trajeto. Quem não se dedica para fazer esses 7 passos, acaba caindo nos 97% dos perdedores de aposta.  Deixe a preguiça de lado! Quero ver o seu esforço para fazer parte dos 3% dos apostadores de sucesso.

Não esqueça de deixar suas dúvidas e experiências aqui nos comentários.

Inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos. 

Além disso, me acompanhe também no Instagram.

 

 

Deixe seu comentário

77 Comentários

  • Quillespunter disse:

    Sensacional!! Mais uma vez esclarecendo dúvidas e mostrando que nada acontece por acaso, assim como disse um sábio apostador: “procurar o atalho sem trabalho é desrespeito”

    Mais uma vez deixo meu agradecimento.
    Sucesso!!!
    Abraço

  • Leandrofx disse:

    Muito bom conteúdo!

    O resumo é necessário para que o leitor tenha uma noção holística dos campos que ele precisa conhecer. Óbvio que a teoria deve ser complementada com a prática e, nesse ramo, isso significa perder dinheiro inicialmente.

    Estou em uma epopéia tortuosa para “recuperar” meus investimentos iniciais. Casa dia mais observo que o tempo e conhecimentos são os bens mais valiosos aqui.

    Reitero meu agradecimento ao Danilo e equipe.

  • Alex Fernando Oliveira disse:

    Parabéns Danilo além de um profissional muito competente sempre faz as coisas com seriedade e honestidade. Pele do punter logo mais vou está no seu curso e nas tips também. Estou na caminhada de trader já a algum tempo e estou me aventurando no punter agora. Vejo muitas coisas parecidas de vc com o Ricardo da Full trader que na minha opinião é o Pelé do trader. Obrigado pelos conhecimentos e parabéns pelo trabalho!!!

  • Mário Sousa disse:

    Parabéns Danilo pelo conteúdo e a demonstração de honestidade sem querer enganar ninguém como muitos fazem por ai nesse mundo de aprendizado das apostas esportivas . Comecei nisso em 2011 na Sportingbet e fui para Betfair por ter a possibilidade de entrar e sair das apostas a qualquer momento . Junto a isso estou na Acadêmia das Apostas do Paulo Rebelo que foi meu primeiro professor . Coloco você entre os melhores que sigo , Ricardo Santos da Full Trader e Nettuno . Seu trabalho é excelente !!

  • Luis Carlos Garcia de lima disse:

    Estou estudando para começar apostar dos vários vídeos que eu vi me esclareceram muita coisa até me provaram q eu estava botando dinheiro fora jogando em múltiplas mas eu nunca joguei em live não achei vídeo que explica como aposta em live e como fas para cercar uma aposta e se vale apena. Pois só jogo na casa diretamente e no pré jogo

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