Como Fazer a Análise das Apostas de Forma Correta?
Você sabe como escolher os jogos para trabalhar na rodada? Sabe como fazer a análise das apostas de forma eficiente? Eu sei que isso pode parecer complicado e é por isso que vou explicar direitinho pra você na matéria de hoje. Além disso, eu também sei que o público que consome meu conteúdo é variado. Alguns com tempo livre, outros nem tanto, outros são iniciantes e também tem aqueles que possuem uma certa experiência. Portanto, vou explicar essa situação de uma forma que todos vocês possam entender.
Como fazer a análise das apostas e quantos jogos escolher por rodada?
Apostador Iniciante
Se você começou com as apostas esportivas há pouco tempo e não entende muito bem todo esse processo, o ideal é que você comece analisando uma quantidade menor de jogos. Pois nesse momento você pode se sobrecarregar ao analisar muitos jogos e não ter um bom resultado com isso. Além disso, um apostador iniciante geralmente não consegue acompanhar muitos jogos, pois não está acostumado com a Live nem com mercados e linhas. Portanto, se você é iniciante eu recomendo analisar 2 ou 3 jogos da rodada e escolher times que você já conhece. Pois é mais fácil você analisar os times que você conhece, já que você terá uma certa proximidade com eles. Depois de escolher esses 2 ou 3 times, você deverá estudar o jogo, verificar se a aposta tem valor e colocar o sistema de fairline (caso tenha).
Apostador Intermediário/Avançado
Este cenário é pra quem está há mais tempo nas apostas esportivas e que pode ser um apostador que viva somente disso. Ou um apostador que tem uma certa experiência e lucro com as apostas, mas que não vive somente disso. O que eu recomendo pra você é analisar todas as partidas, pois na média, a cada 10 jogos na rodada 30% deles possuem valor. Ou seja, a estatística diz que 30% desses jogos estão com odd de valor para algum dos times. Dessa forma, se você focar em poucos jogos, pode acontecer de você não analisar uma partida de valor e perder tempo em uma partida a qual não te trará retorno algum. Essa é uma maneira de enxergar todos os jogos e, após analisar e encontrar o valor, você pode selecionar 3 jogos e focar o seu trabalho neles.
Apostador Profissional
Se você se considera um apostador profissional e vive do dinheiro das apostas, assim como eu, eu recomendo uma prática ainda mais avançada. Além de analisar os jogos da rodada, é necessário também analisar todos os jogos das próximas 3 rodadas. É difícil? Sim! Mas é uma análise totalmente possível e você pode fazer sua fairline pelo menos de forma estatística e programar.
Como fazer a análise de rodadas futuras?
Imagine uma rodada do Brasileirão com um jogo entre Flamengo e Vasco. E na próxima rodada tem um jogo entre Flamengo e Fluminense. É claro que muita coisa não pode ser prevista. Como os jogadores suspensos ou lesionados, mas já é possível levantar outras estatísticas. Dessa forma, você pode ter uma noção dos times, montar uma fairline e deixar o preço mais ou menos pronto. Com o passar dos dias, você pode ajustar suas linhas conforme você tem analisado as próximas partidas.
E desse jeito que os oddmakers trabalham. Fazendo linhas projetadas para os próximos jogos e conforme chega perto dos dias dos jogos, eles afunilam as informações. Ou seja, as informações ficam mais precisas, as estatísticas ficam mais reais. Além de conseguir apurar os lesionados e os desfalques.
Portanto, essas são as maneiras que eu recomento você analisar os jogos de acordo com as experiências que eu tive durante a minha trajetória como apostador profissional. Não fique assustado com essas informações. Eu sei que elas podem parecer muito complexas. Principalmente para quem está iniciando. Mas o segredo é começar aos poucos e evoluir sempre.
Veja mais conteúdos lá no meu canal do Youtube.
E se você quiser um conteúdo ainda mais aprofundado, inscreva-se na minha lista VIP para receber conteúdos de apostas profissionais exclusivos.
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Bitcoin was the first decentralized cryptocurrency, introduced by an unknown person or group of people called « Satoshi Nakamoto » in the famous « Bitcoin: A peer-to-peer Electronic Cash system » whitepaper. Bitcoin was the first currency that only exists electronically and was released as an open-source software, meaning that anyone can examine the code and participate in the Bitcoin network. As seen in Fig 29, the possible increase in Fees% creates potential for mining to be profitable. Historically, fees have increased during periods of substantial turmoils of BTCUSD prices. We can see that the breakeven BTC %fee is reached at the level of 19.2% and the values above this number assure positive PnL% under current conditions for other variables. Therefore fee composition and accompanying drivers are the fields of current research in the crypto industry.
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