UFC Weekend
Resolvi trazer e eleger o nome “UFC Weekend” para os textos de segunda feira, pois retrata sem atrasos o que aconteceu de interessante no UFC de cada final de semana, não só em relação a performance dos atletas. Mas também a atuação dos árbitros, corners dos lutadores, ou seja, tudo que estiver relacionado ao evento e seus bastidores será retratado neste texto que sairá impreterivelmente às segundas feiras.
Dito isso, sem mais delongas, vamos falar um pouco dos destaques deste ultimo final de semana, que teve Green, mas darei mais destaque ao Red de Austin Lingo x Luiz Saldana, para logo em seguida discorrer sobre Josiane, grata revelação e por obvio, esse Green foi comemorado: Kevin Gastelum x Jared Cannonnier. Porém, meu Green veio no Over 4.5, neste texto farei um discurso em cima da luta e dos atletas, esta especificidade deixarei ao cargo do texto da próxima quinta feira, onde darei luz ao mercado de Over.
Luis Saldana x Austin Lingo
Oh, red doído. Mas, como foi. Esta luta sabia que seria parelha e se definiria no detalhe. Lembram do texto de semana passada, os quatro pontos: força, técnica, envergadura e gás? Pois é. Força com peso 1, técnica 2 e assim sucessivamente.
Lingo era, e o confronto mostrou isso, notoriamente mais forte. Coloquei na minha fairline 3 pois pontos de vantagem para ele neste quesito. O que não é muito, por isso que as demais valências devem ser combinadas.
Técnica
Saldana era visivelmente mais técnico e completo, fundamentalmente em pé: se movimenta mais, maior versatilidade e variedade de golpes, troca de bases e com uma movimentação que dificultava, como de fato dificultou, o estilo ortodoxo de Lingo. Minha base foi a luta entre ele e Zalal, muito parecido com o estilo de Saldana. Dei 2 pontos de vantagem: (-1)
Envergadura
São três polegadas de diferença, ou seja, 7 centímetros de vantagem. Na minha Fairline, dou vantagem de um ponto para cada 3 centímetros (um pouco mais de uma polegada) para cada polegada a mais. Desta forma, joguei mais 2 e pouquinho a favor de Saldana: (+1)
Gás
Então, foi aqui que a minha análise falhou, pois dei vantagem a Saldana neste quesito, mais 2 pontos, o que de fato não se mostrou verdade na luta. Uma vez que sua superioridade só foi evidente, com larga vantagem no 1R. No segundo e no terceiro creio que Saldana sofre uma contusão no primeiro quarto do 2 round, em um dos seus chutes, fato que o faz caminhar com menos firmeza tendo que utilizar mais força em outros recursos, seja nos golpes de mão, seja nas tentativas de queda (infrutíferas), pois sem perna, sem força e aderência suficiente para projetar Lingo ao solo, o que fez perder mais energia e cardio para que se mantivesse mais inteiro que seu adversário. Isso o desgastou mais fisicamente e fez com que perdesse o gás e até levasse um nockdown no 3R, uma vez que sua movimentação e força já não eram mais as mesmas. Este pequeno acidente, tirou sua confiança e devolveu a vantagem para Lingo de 2 pontos: (-1), determinando assim o RED e levando o confronto para as mãos dos juízes por unanimidade.
Josiane Nunes
Infelizmente, esta era uma tip que não tinha muita confiança, uma vez que as lutas da Josi não estavam todas disponíveis na rede. Todas as outras eram lutas de 1R e outras contra adversárias com índice técnico baixo. A ultima luta que tive acesso de Josi foi contra Dione Silva, dezembro de 2019. Era uma outra lutadora, tecnicamente muito inferior a que estreou no UFC. Naquela luta cedeu muito fácil as quedas e a sua trocação era mão para todo lado, pura força e disposição, nada além disto. Como sua adversária era muito alta e longa, com um bom grappling, nem me arrisquei. Deixei passar.
Entretanto a luta foi um passeio. Josi mostrou um boxe em linha bastante interessante, um volume de golpes que não cessava (não perdeu fôlego em nenhum momento), o que deixou Bea Malecki sem respostas as investidas, até ser nocauteada num “mata cobra” já nos segundos finais do 1R. Grande vitória e uma aposta interessante para os próximos eventos.
Estarei de olho!
Kevin Gastelum x Cannonier
A língua e os dedos estão coçando para dissertar sobre o Over 4,5, mas vou me segurar. Que luta, meus amigos! Que luta!
Ali a diferença de envergadura e força foram determinantes para a vitoria de Cannonier. A distancia técnica entre os dois não ficou tão evidente, apesar de se movimentar e fintar mais, Gastelum não foi capaz de atravessar a envergadura de Cannonier, que jogava muito bem na distancia e nos contragolpes pegando Gastelum com jabs e cruzados, fosse nas entradas, fosse nas saídas, ai que nasceu o knockdown que poderia ter determinado o encerramento da luta antes dos 5 rounds.
Minha opinião sincera
Gastelum, conselho… se quer ser campeão, definitivamente esta categoria não é a sua. Por mais técnico e queixo duro que tenta, no 84, você enfrentará a partir do Top 5 atletas muito mais fortes e altos. No 77, apesar de ter uma pedreira da envergadura de um Kamaru…vamos conversar que se trata de uma barreira infinitamente menor que Adesanya, convenhamos.
Tá na hora de comer menos burritos e donuts, virar atleta de verdade e descer de categoria, como fez Cannonier, que baixou duas.
Espero que Rafael Cordeiro não passe a mão em seu pupilo reclamando a derrota, etc, e abra seus olhos para a verdade, a categoria dos médios definitivamente não é a sua casa, se realmente quiser ser campeão.
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- Entenda Como Funciona o Handicap Asiático no Live nas Apostas Esportivas
- Como trabalhar, e por que eu gosto do handicap asiático -0,25/+0,25?
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